Caerphilly vs Carmarthenshire: buying or renting a home
A typical terraced house costs £19,000 (13%) more in Caerphilly than in Carmarthenshire. Measured against local pay, buying is harder in Caerphilly: it takes 4.6× median annual pay, against 3.8× in Carmarthenshire.
At a glance
| Caerphilly | Carmarthenshire | |
|---|---|---|
| Buying a home | Fairly affordable | Fairly affordable |
| Renting a home | Fairly affordable | Affordable |
| Recorded crime | About average | About average |
Buying rates the typical price of all homes against median pay; renting rates a year of average rent against median pay; crime rates recorded crime per resident against the England and Wales average.
What the numbers say
Median full-time pay in Carmarthenshire (£37,405) is 6% higher than in Caerphilly (£35,367), while a typical terraced house costs 12% less (£143,000 against £162,000). Set against local pay, Carmarthenshire is the easier of the two for a typical earner to buy in.
Buying a terraced house takes 4.6× annual pay in Caerphilly and 3.8× in Carmarthenshire. Renting one takes 25% of pay in Caerphilly and 22% in Carmarthenshire. Both are harder in Caerphilly, and the gap is wider for buying.
Across all property types and measured against pay, Caerphilly is the 39th least expensive of 316 areas to buy in, and Carmarthenshire is the 32nd least expensive of 316 areas. For renting against pay, Caerphilly is the 37th least expensive of 316 areas and Carmarthenshire is the 6th least expensive of 316 areas.
Someone on £40,000 in Caerphilly would need about £35,500 in Carmarthenshire to be equally placed to buy a terraced house, and about £37,500 to be equally placed to rent one. Keeping the same pay after a move to Carmarthenshire would leave you better placed to buy. These figures compare housing costs only; they ignore other living costs and the pay you could earn in a new job.
Police recorded 85.3 crimes per 1,000 residents in Caerphilly and 66.0 in Carmarthenshire, so recorded crime per resident is 23% lower in Carmarthenshire. The biggest difference is in vehicle offences: 5.1 per 1,000 in Caerphilly against 1.5 in Carmarthenshire.
Can a typical earner buy?
| Terraced house | Caerphilly | Carmarthenshire |
|---|---|---|
| Median full-time pay | £35,367 | £37,405 |
| House price ÷ pay | 4.6× | 3.8× |
| Median pay as a share of income typically needed to buy | 109% | 131% |
| Rent a year as a share of median pay | 25% | 22% |
Buying, by property type
| Type | Caerphilly | Carmarthenshire | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detached | £335,000 | £295,000 | -12% in Carmarthenshire |
| Semi-detached | £215,000 | £182,000 | -15% in Carmarthenshire |
| Terraced | £162,000 | £143,000 | -12% in Carmarthenshire |
Renting, by property type
| Type (average rent a month) | Caerphilly | Carmarthenshire | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detached | £950 | £850 | -11% in Carmarthenshire |
| Semi-detached | £782 | £728 | -7% in Carmarthenshire |
| Terraced | £740 | £694 | -6% in Carmarthenshire |
Crime
Police recorded 85.3 crimes per 1,000 residents in Caerphilly and 66.0 in Carmarthenshire, so recorded crime per resident is 23% lower in Carmarthenshire.
| Police recorded crime per 1,000 residents | Caerphilly | Carmarthenshire | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| All recorded crime (excluding fraud) | 85.3 | 66.0 | -23% in Carmarthenshire |
| Violence against the person | 36.1 | 29.9 | -17% in Carmarthenshire |
| Sexual offences | 3.7 | 3.6 | -3% in Carmarthenshire |
| Robbery | 0.5 | 0.2 | -51% in Carmarthenshire |
| Residential burglary (per 1,000 households) | 5.9 | 4.3 | -26% in Carmarthenshire |
| Vehicle offences | 5.1 | 1.5 | -70% in Carmarthenshire |
| Theft from the person | 0.1 | 0.2 | +90% in Carmarthenshire |
| Criminal damage and arson | 11.1 | 7.9 | -29% in Carmarthenshire |
Rates use resident population, so city centres and student areas show higher crime per resident than residents experience. Recorded crime also depends on reporting and police recording practice.
How prices have changed in each area
Average house price for all property types, indexed so that 2005 is 100. A line at 200 means prices have doubled.
Show the figures
| Year | Caerphilly | Carmarthenshire |
|---|---|---|
| 2005 | 100 | 100 |
| 2006 | 108 | 109 |
| 2007 | 115 | 117 |
| 2008 | 111 | 113 |
| 2009 | 98 | 101 |
| 2010 | 101 | 103 |
| 2011 | 101 | 100 |
| 2012 | 100 | 98 |
| 2013 | 99 | 97 |
| 2014 | 106 | 101 |
| 2015 | 109 | 103 |
| 2016 | 113 | 107 |
| 2017 | 119 | 110 |
| 2018 | 125 | 115 |
| 2019 | 132 | 121 |
| 2020 | 136 | 125 |
| 2021 | 152 | 142 |
| 2022 | 172 | 161 |
| 2023 | 176 | 165 |
| 2024 | 181 | 164 |
| 2025 | 185 | 165 |
| 12 months to July 2026 | 191 | 169 |
In 2005 the average home cost £101,342 in Caerphilly and £115,037 in Carmarthenshire. Now it is £194,057 and £194,919: Caerphilly is up 91% and Carmarthenshire is up 69%. Prices have risen faster in Caerphilly, so the gap between the two has narrowed.
Buying a home against local pay, over time
Average house price divided by median full-time pay. Higher means harder to afford.
Show the figures
| Year | Caerphilly | Carmarthenshire |
|---|---|---|
| 2005 | 5.2 years of pay | 6.1 years of pay |
| 2010 | 4.8 years of pay | 5.3 years of pay |
| 2015 | 4.5 years of pay | 4.9 years of pay |
| 2020 | 4.9 years of pay | 4.9 years of pay |
| 2025 | 5.3 years of pay | 5.1 years of pay |
In 2005 a home cost 5.2 years of pay in Caerphilly and 6.1 years in Carmarthenshire. In 2025 it was 5.3 years and 5.1 years.
Affordability has worsened more in Caerphilly over that time.
How rents have changed in each area
Average monthly rent for all property types, indexed so that 2015 is 100.
Show the figures
| Year | Caerphilly | Carmarthenshire |
|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 100 | 100 |
| 2016 | 100 | 100 |
| 2017 | 101 | 102 |
| 2018 | 104 | 102 |
| 2019 | 106 | 105 |
| 2020 | 109 | 107 |
| 2021 | 112 | 109 |
| 2022 | 117 | 112 |
| 2023 | 125 | 122 |
| 2024 | 134 | 132 |
| 2025 | 147 | 140 |
| August 2026 | 158 | 150 |
In 2015 the average rent was £472 a month in Caerphilly and £459 in Carmarthenshire. Now it is £747 and £687: up 58% in Caerphilly and up 50% in Carmarthenshire. Rents have risen faster in Caerphilly.
What your salary is worth in each area
Salary needed to afford the same kind of home (terraced), going by median prices and average rents.
Moving from Caerphilly to Carmarthenshire
| Earning in Caerphilly | Equivalent to buy in Carmarthenshire | Equivalent to rent in Carmarthenshire |
|---|---|---|
| £30,000 | £26,500 | £28,000 |
| £40,000 | £35,500 | £37,500 |
| £50,000 | £44,000 | £47,000 |
| £60,000 | £53,000 | £56,500 |
Moving from Carmarthenshire to Caerphilly
| Earning in Carmarthenshire | Equivalent to buy in Caerphilly | Equivalent to rent in Caerphilly |
|---|---|---|
| £30,000 | £34,000 | £32,000 |
| £40,000 | £45,500 | £42,500 |
| £50,000 | £56,500 | £53,500 |
| £60,000 | £68,000 | £64,000 |